Polis Analysis

Polis Analysis

Climate and Instability Intelligence Briefing: El Niño and Food Security – How Climate Shocks Could Deepen Hunger Across Vulnerable Regions

Aug 19, 2026
∙ Paid

At a glance

  • A strong El Niño is forming and is forecast to peak between September and December 2026, with the World Food Programme warning it could push at least 49 million more people into acute food insecurity by the end of 2027.

  • Because harvest and price effects lag the weather event, the heaviest consequences are likely to land in 2027, concentrated i…

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